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Summary
With one more month and quarter in the books, there is seemingly nothing to complain about in the performance of the major mega-cap stock indexes. But if you look beneath the surface, it’s a more complicated story. So far, IT has knocked the major indices down and soared. Can this last? The majority of earnings-based market research suggests that it is possible. The S&P 500 rose 3.5% in June, 3.9% in the second quarter and 14.5% year to date. The Nasdaq was up 6% monthly, up 8.3% in the second quarter and up 18% year to date. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) rose 6.5% in June, 8% in the second quarter and 17% year to date. The S&P MidCap 400 (MDY) has had a mixed time, down 1.7% in June and 3.5% in the second quarter, but up 6% so far in 2024. Meanwhile, small caps simply fail to gain traction consistently, with the Russell 2000 (IWM) down 1% in June, 3.3% in the second quarter, and a relatively disappointing 1.6% up so far in 2024. In June we saw a very concentrated market, with Information Technology (XLK) growing 7.8%, Discretionary (XLY) adding almost 4%, Communication Services ( XLC) rose 3%, real estate (XLRE) rose 2% and healthcare rose 1.8%. The other six sectors all fell during the month, with Utilities (XLU) taking a 5.5% hit. IT leadership was provided by
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