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Thursday, January 23, 2025

Jeju Air Crash: Where Are the Final Four Minutes?

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Jeju Air Crash Investigation: Black Box Data Mystery Deepens

The investigation into the devastating Jeju Air crash at Muan International Airport on December 29th, 2024, has taken a significant turn. The **two black boxes** on the Boeing 737-800 jet, crucial to understanding the cause of the accident that claimed 179 lives, ceased recording approximately four minutes before impact, revealing a critical gap in the final moments of the flight. This revelation has shocked investigators and raised serious concerns about the potential causes of the catastrophic failure. The South Korean transport ministry is now grappling with this new development, facing mounting pressure to uncover the truth behind the tragedy amidst growing public scrutiny and calls for independent expertise.

Key Takeaways:

  • Black box data silence: The flight data and cockpit voice recorders stopped functioning about four minutes before the crash, leaving a crucial gap in the investigation.
  • Bird strike reported: The pilot reported a **bird strike** approximately four minutes before the black boxes stopped recording, raising questions about its potential role in the events leading to the crash.
  • Unusual power failure suspected: The missing data suggests a complete power failure, including backup power systems, a rare and significant finding in the investigation.
  • Embankment under scrutiny: The investigation is also examining the embankment the plane struck, a structure designed to support vital landing systems, due to its rigid construction and proximity to the runway.
  • Calls for independent investigation: Families of the victims are demanding an independent investigation and the exclusion of the transport ministry from leading the probe.

The Silent Black Boxes: A Crucial Mystery

The unexpected silence of the black boxes has thrown the investigation into disarray. The **flight data recorder (FDR)** and **cockpit voice recorder (CVR)** are vital tools for understanding the sequence of events leading up to a plane crash. These devices record numerous parameters, including airspeed, altitude, engine performance, and pilot communications. The fact that both ceased functioning four minutes before impact represents a significant setback, leaving investigators scrambling to piece together the events that led to the catastrophic crash. The South Korean transport ministry has stated that the CVR was sent to a US National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) laboratory for further analysis after initial analysis in South Korea revealed the missing data. Former transport ministry accident investigator Sim Jai-dong highlighted the unusual nature of this complete power failure, suggesting it could indicate a catastrophic system failure. **”The discovery of the missing data…suggests all power, including backup, may have been cut, which is rare,”** he stated.

Analyzing the Missing Minutes

The four minutes of missing data are now the focal point of the investigation. Investigators are exploring various possibilities, including catastrophic mechanical failure, an unforeseen electrical short, or an external event that impacted the aircraft’s systems. The silence poses a significant challenge because it prevents a clear understanding of the critical decisions made by the crew in the final moments. The exact time and nature of power failure are thus of paramount importance in uncovering the cause of the crash.

Bird Strike and Mayday

The pilot’s report of a **bird strike** roughly four minutes earlier adds another layer to the investigation. While bird strikes are relatively common, their severity and impact vary significantly, depending on the size of the bird, the speed of impact and the area of the aircraft struck. A significant bird strike could conceivably disable crucial systems while causing no substantial visible damage. The potential consequences of impact could have led to a cascading failure of systems, eventually resulting in the loss of all power just moments before the accident. However, the correlation between the reported bird strike and the subsequently missing data needs to be thoroughly examined; further evidence is required to confirm a definite causal relationship. Further investigation is critical to establish whether the bird strike played a role in the subsequent events, or was purely coincidental.

Air Traffic Control Advisory

Two minutes before the Mayday call, air traffic control issued a cautionary warning about **bird activity** in the landing area. This warning, although not uncommon, highlights the increased risks associated with bird strikes, especially near large bodies of water and agricultural areas. The investigation must assess whether it adequately communicated this to the pilots, whether appropriate safety procedures were in place, and whether the actual levels of bird activity were substantial enough to present a known risk. The proximity of the warning to the subsequent Mayday call demands analysis of the overall safety and operational procedures of the air traffic controller. The investigators must not only look into the pilot’s response but also verify the nature of the bird activity and the efficacy of the warning procedures.

Embankment’s Role in the Tragedy

The investigation extends beyond the black box data. The wreckage analysis confirms the impact of the aircraft with an embankment which supports the runway’s localizer system. The embankment’s design and rigidity have come under immediate scrutiny. Questions are being raised about the use of such rigid materials in its construction and its close proximity to the end of the runway. Some critics suggest that had the embankment been less rigid, the impact may have had a less catastrophic effect. The materials used, the embankment’s design specifications, and its location are now being thoroughly reviewed to ascertain whether they played a role in the severity of the damage sustained during the accident. It is essential to find conclusive evidence to determine whether the design of this crucial system influenced the magnitude of the failure.

Transparency and Independent Oversight

The families of the victims are calling for a transparent investigation led by independent experts outside of the South Korean transport ministry. They expressed a lack of trust in the government to independently thoroughly examine this tragedy. **”The transport ministry should not be taking the lead in this investigation,”** stated one family member. This demand underscores the public’s desire for impartial scrutiny, ensuring accountability and transparency regarding the findings and recommendations made. This call for transparency reflects a need for increased public trust; the findings of the investigation should be unbiased and objective, providing clarity and closure to the bereaved families. Furthermore, this highlights the importance of external review when such disasters occur, not only to ensure transparency, but also to ensure all potential causes are examined.

Conclusion: A Path Towards Understanding

The Jeju Air crash remains a tragic event that necessitates a thorough and impartial investigation. The unexpected silence of the black boxes in the crucial minutes leading up to the crash has introduced an unprecedented challenge. While investigators are focusing their efforts on understanding the data obtained, the wider investigation must also address the potential role of the bird strike, the design of the embankment, and the ongoing debates over the legitimacy and transparency of the investigation itself. The world awaits the comprehensive findings of the investigation to understand exactly what transpired, to learn from this tragedy and to prevent such devastating events from occurring again. The families’ demand for an independent investigation highlights the need for greater transparency and accountability in such investigations to prevent future loss of life. The emphasis on learning from this disaster must be paramount.

Article Reference

Sarah Thompson
Sarah Thompson
Sarah Thompson is a seasoned journalist with over a decade of experience in breaking news and current affairs.

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