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Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Trump Media’s $4B Plunge: Will Expiring Lockup Agreement Spell Disaster for Truth Social?

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Trump Media & Technology Group’s Value Plummets by Nearly $4 Billion as Lockup Expires

Donald Trump‘s media startup, Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., is facing a significant downturn in its value, having shed nearly $4 billion in recent months. This dramatic decrease comes as the company’s lockup agreement, which prevented major shareholders from selling their shares, is set to expire.

Key Takeaways:

  • Trump Media & Technology Group has seen a $6 billion drop in value over the past four months
  • The company’s stock has plummeted to its lowest point since its initial public offering, trading below $18
  • Trump’s stake in the company has dwindled to $2.1 billion
  • The lockup agreement’s expiration is expected to trigger a wave of share sales by insiders, including Andy Litinsky, Wes Moss, and Patrick Orlando
  • Despite the drop in value, Trump has remained largely unaffected, asserting that he will not sell his shares
  • The company reported second-quarter revenues under $1 million, raising concerns about its future performance
  • Investors are anticipating significant market activity as the lockup period ends, which could drastically influence the company’s future

The Impact of a Looming Sell-Off

The impending expiration of the lockup agreement has created significant uncertainty among investors, who are now faced with the potential for a mass sell-off by major shareholders. While Trump has pledged not to sell his shares, his statement has only provided temporary relief to the falling stock price.

The value of the company has been under pressure for months, driven by several factors:

  • The lack of substantial revenue: While Truth Social, the company’s flagship platform, has attracted a considerable user base, it has yet to generate significant revenue. The company’s Q2 revenue less than $1 million provides little comfort to investors.
  • Negative perceptions surrounding Trump: The company’s association with Trump has created a sense of risk and uncertainty, especially with his ongoing legal battles.
  • Market volatility: The broader economic landscape and the turbulence in the tech sector have also contributed to the company’s declining valuation.

The looming lockup expiry presents a complex situation for Trump Media & Technology Group. While insiders could be tempted to unload their shares, effectively cashing out before further value erosion, they may struggle to discreetly sell their holdings without triggering a market panic.

The market is now in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating whether insiders will act on their freedom to sell, the impact of their actions on the already declining share price, and ultimately, the long-term viability of Trump Media & Technology Group.

The Future of Truth Social

Despite the current challenges, the company maintains that Truth Social has experienced significant growth in user engagement and remains committed to its expansion plans. The company hopes to capitalize on the recent rise in popularity of alternative social media platforms. However, the question remains whether Truth Social can generate sufficient revenue and attract investors despite the current market sentiment and its association with Trump.

The expiration of the lockup agreement will undoubtedly trigger a significant shift in the company’s trajectory. The upcoming weeks and months will be crucial in determining the fate of Trump Media & Technology Group and the future of Truth Social.

Article Reference

Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan covers the latest developments in technology, from groundbreaking innovations to industry trends.

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