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Tuesday, January 21, 2025

Tech Boom Lifts US Stocks, But Is It Enough to Outweigh CrowdStrike’s Slump and Oil’s Plunge?

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Wall Street Rebounds on Tech Rally, Investors Eye Earnings Season

Wall Street kicked off the new week with a positive note, with all major indices trading in the green. The rebound in tech stocks, after experiencing dips last week, fueled overall investor optimism. The start of the tech earnings season became the focal point, overshadowing President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the reelection campaign.

Key Takeaways:

  • Tech stocks rebounded after a tough week, sparking a positive start to the week for Wall Street.
  • Semiconductor stocks rallied following last week’s plunge due to China-related concerns.
  • The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index surged, showing signs of snapping a three-day losing streak.
  • Investors are focused on the start of the tech earnings season, with several major companies reporting this week.
  • Biden’s withdrawal from the reelection campaign has sparked speculation about Kamala Harris’ potential chances in the upcoming November election.

Tech Sector Rebounds, Semiconductor Stocks Rally

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index, a bellwether for the tech sector, jumped by 1% by 12:40 p.m. in New York, on track to end a three-day losing streak. This rebound was driven largely by the resurgence of semiconductor stocks, which had been battered last week due to concerns about increased curbs on exports to China. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) both climbed by 2.5% on Monday.

This rally in semiconductor stocks is likely driven by optimism surrounding the upcoming earnings season. Several major semiconductor companies are expected to report earnings this week, including Cadence Design Systems Inc. (CDNS) and NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI). Investors will be looking for guidance on the impact of the China export restrictions, as well as for any clues on future demand trends in the semiconductor market.

Earnings Season Takes Center Stage

The start of the tech earnings season has captured the attention of investors, with reports from key companies expected to provide valuable insights into the state of the tech sector. Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), a major player in the artificial intelligence (AI) chip market, saw its shares jump 3.8% on news of developing a version of its flagship Blackwell AI chip specifically tailored for the Chinese market. This development suggests a potential workaround for existing U.S. export restrictions and could bode well for future growth in the Chinese market.

Other noteworthy earnings on Monday included Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ), which saw its shares fall 6.4% after reporting quarterly results that met earnings expectations but fell short on revenue. Truist Financial Corp. (TFC) and IQVIA Holdings Inc. (IQV) reported positive earnings, with their shares rising 2.9% and 6.2%, respectively.

Beyond the Earnings Reports: Other Market Movers

Beyond the earnings season, other stock movers on Monday included CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (CRWD). The cybersecurity company faced a steep decline, with its shares plummeting 13% after being downgraded by several investment banks, including Scotiabank, Guggenheim, and BTIG. This downward trajectory was further fueled by trimmed price target cuts.

Meanwhile, Mattel Inc. (MAT) saw a significant surge of over 19% after reports emerged about an acquisition offer from L Catterton. This acquisition news injected a strong dose of optimism into Mattel’s stock, reflecting investors’ positive sentiment towards the potential deal.

Biden’s Exit From the Election Race: Potential for Kamala Harris

In the political sphere, President Joe Biden’s decision to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race sparked speculation about the potential for Vice President Kamala Harris to take over the Democratic ticket. Betting-implied odds of Harris winning the November election have risen to 29% following Biden’s announcement, suggesting a shift in the political landscape. While it remains to be seen how Biden’s departure will impact the overall political dynamics, it is sure to generate considerable discussion and analysis in the coming days and weeks.

Treasury Yields Rise, Commodities See Mixed Performance

Treasury yields, a key indicator of interest rate expectations, moved upwards on Monday. The 30-year yield advanced 5 basis points to 4.5%, impacting the performance of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). The ETF fell by 0.7% as rising yields weighed on bond prices. This rise in yields reflects investor anticipation of continued economic growth and potential for further interest rate hikes in the near future.

In the commodity market, metals softened on Monday with gold, silver, and copper experiencing declines of 0.4%, 0.5%, and 1%, respectively. This softening could be attributed to a strengthening dollar, which often acts as a headwind for commodity prices. However, the energy sector saw a jump in natural gas prices, which surged by 7%. This surge is driven by the resumption of shipments from Freeport LNG following Hurricane Beryl and expectations of increased cooling demand during the hot weather. Oil prices, tracked by the United States Oil Fund (USO), fell by 0.7%, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude on track for its lowest close in over a month.

Bitcoin Continues Its Downward Trend

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) continued its recent downward trajectory, losing 1.8% on Monday. This decline reflects broader market trends, with investors remaining cautious about the overall crypto market performance amidst ongoing regulatory uncertainty and volatility.

Looking Ahead: What to Watch for

Investors are keenly focused on the continuation of the tech earnings season, with several major companies slated to release their financial results this week. These results will provide crucial insights into the sector’s overall performance and growth potential.

Furthermore, the impact of Biden’s withdrawal from the reelection race on the political landscape and its potential implications for the economy will be closely watched. The strength of the dollar and its influence on commodity prices, as well as the performance of the semiconductor sector amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, will also remain key areas of concern for investors in the coming days.

Article Reference

Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan covers the latest developments in technology, from groundbreaking innovations to industry trends.

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