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Tuesday, October 15, 2024

Nasdaq 100’s 11-Month Plunge: China Curbs Chipmakers, “Magnificent 7” Lose $500 Billion – What’s Next?

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Semiconductor Selloff Shakes Wall Street as Biden Administration Tightens China Chip Exports

Wall Street experienced a sharp downturn on Wednesday, driven by a broad-based selloff in semiconductor stocks following news of the Biden administration’s intensified efforts to restrict chip exports to China. The administration, according to Bloomberg, has advised its allies to impose the strictest possible trade restrictions on companies like Tokyo Electron Ltd. (TOELY) and ASML Holding NV (ASML) if they continue supplying advanced chips to China. This news sent shockwaves through the tech sector, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 plunging by 2.7%, its worst performance since late August 2023. The semiconductor industry bore the brunt of the selloff, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) plummeting over 6%, marking their most significant decline since October 2022.

Key Takeaways:

  • US Tightens Chip Export Restrictions to China: The Biden administration has advised its allies to impose stricter trade restrictions on companies exporting advanced chips to China, potentially impacting key players like Tokyo Electron and ASML Holding.
  • Semiconductors Take a Hit: The semiconductor sector suffered a major selloff, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) experiencing their worst day since October 2022.
  • Tech Giants Suffer Losses: The "Magnificent Seven" tech giants, tracked by the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS), saw a collective market cap loss of $500 billion in a single trading session.
  • Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) led the losses, plummeting 7% and losing $180 billion in market capitalization.
  • Wider Market Impact: The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 closed down 2.7%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.2%. However, the Dow Jones rose 0.6%, reaching new highs for the sixth consecutive session.

The Impact on Semiconductor Companies

The US government’s move to restrict chip exports to China has sent a ripple effect through the semiconductor industry. ASML Holding NV (ASML), the Dutch chipmaker, saw its shares fall nearly 12%, marking its worst decline since March 2020. The company is a leading supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, essential for producing the most advanced chips.

Other semiconductor giants, including Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), and Arm Holdings plc (ARM), also experienced significant losses, with each company’s stock dropping over 8%.

The impact extends beyond the immediate players. Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL), Lam Research Corporation (LRCX), and Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT), key players involved in chip manufacturing equipment and technologies, also suffered declines of approximately 8%.

A Broader Market Perspective

While the semiconductor sector took the most significant hit, the broader market also felt the effects of this news. The Nasdaq 100, heavily reliant on technology stocks, experienced a significant decline, reflecting the overall uncertainty and concern surrounding the chip export restrictions.

However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the trend, rising 0.6% and extending its all-time high streak to six sessions. This divergence highlights the potential for a decoupling in the market, with certain sectors like blue-chip stocks appearing to be more resilient to the current market volatility.

Beyond the Semiconductor Sector: Other Movers and Shakers

While the semiconductor sector dominated the headlines, several other stocks saw significant movement, driven by various factors, including earnings reports and geopolitical developments.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) rallied 3.7% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly results, indicating positive performance despite the broader market downturn.

Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW) faced significant losses, plunging 9.4% following a 10.2% drop on Tuesday. This decline stemmed from analysts lowering their price targets after disappointing Q2 earnings results.

Other notable movers included:

  • Elevance Health Inc. (ELV): Down 6.5% due to earnings-related factors.
  • U.S. Bancorp (USB): Up 4.6% after positive earnings results.
  • Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY): Down 3% due to earnings-related factors.
  • Northern Trust Corp. (NTRS): Down 7% due to earnings-related factors.
  • Citizens Financial Group (CFG): Up 3.4% after positive earnings results.
  • Synchrony Financial (SYF): Up 0.6% due to earnings-related factors.

Analyzing the Implications for the Future

The Biden administration’s decision to tighten chip export restrictions to China creates a complex landscape for the semiconductor industry and the broader market. The move is designed to address national security concerns related to China’s technological advancements, particularly in the realms of artificial intelligence (AI) and supercomputing.

However, the restrictions could have unintended consequences. Companies like ASML Holding and Tokyo Electron, key players in advanced chipmaking equipment, could face significant financial repercussions if they are forced to limit their sales to Chinese customers. This could, in turn, impact the global supply chain and hinder technological advancements.

The US government is also facing pressure from domestic semiconductor companies, which rely on China as a major market for their products. The industry is seeking clarity and reassurance about the long-term impact of these restrictions and how they will be implemented.

Conclusion: A Semiconductor Selloff with Broader Implications

Wednesday’s selloff in semiconductor stocks, fueled by heightened export restrictions to China, highlights the evolving tensions in the geopolitical and technological landscape. The future of the semiconductor industry, a critical component of global innovation, remains uncertain. As the US government navigates this complex issue, the market will continue to monitor the impact on key players and the broader implications for economic growth and technological advancements.

Article Reference

Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan covers the latest developments in technology, from groundbreaking innovations to industry trends.

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