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Tuesday, December 3, 2024

Biden Boom or Tech Titan Triumph? Magnificent 7’s 200%+ Surge Since Election

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Since Joe Biden’s election in November 2020, a select group of tech giants, dubbed the “Magnificent Seven,” have delivered **exceptional returns**, significantly outperforming the broader market. This elite cohort, comprised of **Microsoft**, **Apple**, **Nvidia**, **Alphabet**, **Amazon**, **Meta**, and **Tesla**, has showcased remarkable growth, prompting analysis into the factors driving their success and comparing their performance under both the Biden and Trump administrations. The implications for investors are substantial, highlighting the potential for significant gains in carefully selected tech investments.

Key Takeaways: The Magnificent Seven’s Stunning Growth

  • An equally weighted portfolio of the Magnificent Seven yielded a **213.6% return** (**25% CAGR**) since November 2020, dwarfing the **74% return (14.8% CAGR)** of the S&P 500.
  • **Nvidia** emerged as the top performer, boasting a **967.92% return** fueled by the **AI boom**.
  • While most Magnificent Seven companies significantly outperformed the market, **Amazon** lagged, highlighting the varied impacts of economic trends on even the most successful companies.
  • The Magnificent Seven delivered **even stronger returns** under the Trump administration, averaging a **380.2% return (43.38% CAGR)**.
  • This analysis underscores the potential for **substantial gains in tech stocks**, but also emphasizes the importance of **diversification** and understanding the specific drivers of individual company performance.

Magnificent Seven Performance in the Biden Years (November 2020 – November 2024)

The following table details the performance of each Magnificent Seven stock over the past four years, showcasing the significant growth experienced by these tech giants under President Biden’s administration:

StockReturn (%)CAGR (%)Market Cap (Nov. 3, 2020)Market Cap (Nov. 5, 2024)
NVIDIA967.92%80.56%$321.69 billion$3.42 trillion
Meta Platforms114.22%20.98%$755.65 billion$1.44 trillion
Alphabet105.85%19.78%$1.1 trillion$2.09 trillion
Apple101.13%19.08%$1.88 trillion$3.37 trillion
Microsoft99.55%18.85%$1.56 trillion$3.07 trillion
Tesla77.48%15.42%$415.27 billion$807.74 billion
Amazon29.36%6.64%$1.53 trillion$2.08 trillion
Average return, CAGR / Total market cap.213.64%25.02%$7.58 trillion$16.26 trillion

Nvidia’s Meteoric Rise

Nvidia’s performance stands out, with its **967.92% return** attributed largely to the soaring demand for its **GPUs (Graphics Processing Units)**, driven by the **explosion of artificial intelligence**. This exemplifies the profound impact of technological breakthroughs on specific companies.

Steady Growth for Tech Giants

Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet registered impressive growth, roughly doubling in market value. Their success reflects continued strength in their core businesses, spanning **cloud computing, advertising, and diverse digital services**. This consistent performance underscores the resilience of these established players in the evolving tech landscape.

Tesla and Amazon: Divergent Trajectories

While Tesla’s market cap nearly doubled, its performance lagged behind the overall average. Conversely, **Amazon’s** relatively modest growth highlights the challenges faced by even leading companies amidst shifting economic conditions and increased competition. Their performance serves as a reminder of the inherent risks in relying on past performance as a predictor of future success.

Magnificent Seven Performance Under Trump (November 2016 – November 2020)

To provide a comprehensive comparison, let’s examine the Magnificent Seven’s performance during the Trump administration:

StockReturn (%)CAGR (%)Market Cap (Nov. 8, 2016)Market Cap (Nov. 2, 2020)
NVIDIA631.84%64.47%$38.07 billion$310.85 billion
Meta Platforms113.57%20.89%$358.60 billion$744.35 billion
Alphabet102.67%19.32%$552.28 billion$1.10 trillion
Apple297.77%41.22%$592.21 billion$1.85 trillion
Microsoft241.38%35.93%$470.18 billion$1.53 trillion
Tesla987.26%81.59%$29.22 billion$379.64 billion
Amazon286.98%40.26%$331.19 billion$1.51 trillion
Average return, CAGR / Total market cap.380.2%43.38%$2.56 trillion$7.42 trillion

Early Successes Fuel Continued Growth

While the Biden era saw remarkable growth, the Trump administration witnessed even more **dramatic returns**, averaging a **380.2% increase**. This underscores the powerful momentum established during this period, laying the groundwork for the continued success of these tech giants. **Tesla** and **Nvidia**, once again, dominated, showcasing early investor enthusiasm for their respective technologies.

“The performance during the Trump administration established a strong base that fueled growth under Biden,” explains financial analyst Jane Doe (hypothetical quote). “However, the specific drivers of growth shifted, with AI playing a central role in the recent surge.”

The exceptional returns of the Magnificent Seven illustrate the **potential for significant gains** in the tech sector, but it’s crucial to remember that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. The diverse performance of these companies, particularly the differing trajectories of Amazon and Nvidia, underscores the importance of **thorough due diligence and diversified investment strategies**.

Article Reference

Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan covers the latest developments in technology, from groundbreaking innovations to industry trends.

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