Biden overtakes Trump in latest poll, surges in key swing states, according to Quiver Quantitative data

Biden overtakes Trump in latest poll, surges in key swing states, according to Quiver Quantitative data

Quiver Quantitative – President Joe Biden saw a notable increase in support in key battleground states, surpassing former President Donald Trump in several critical regions, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. This shift in voter sentiment marks a significant shift from the past five months, when Trump was consistently ahead in the polls. The change is particularly striking in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, states crucial to securing an electoral victory. Biden’s recent gains in these swing states and others like Michigan could be decisive for his re-election prospects. Biden’s surge in poll numbers coincides with his forceful State of the Union speech, which appeared to have rallied Democrats and eased some concerns about his age.

Biden’s campaign has stepped up its efforts, focusing on key states and increasing its ad spending, particularly in Blue Wall states. Despite Biden’s gains, Trump maintains a lead in the seven swing states surveyed, with 47% to Biden’s 43%. That lead shrinks when third-party candidates are included, with Trump at 43%, Biden at 38% and other candidates collectively garnering 11% of voter support. The poll also found that a significant portion of support for Biden is driven by opposition to Trump rather than outright enthusiasm for Biden, indicating a potential motivator for voter turnout among the Democratic base.

On the economic front, voters in swing states show growing confidence in the national economy, and more and more believe it is on the right track. However, they still tend to trust Trump over Biden on several key economic issues, including interest rates and job availability. That presents a challenge for Biden in a race where economic concerns are paramount to voters. Meanwhile, issues such as immigration are gaining prominence among voters’ priorities.

The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll, conducted online among 4,932 registered voters in seven swing states, offers crucial insight into the current electoral landscape. It highlights the fluid dynamics of voter sentiment in these crucial regions, underscoring the competitiveness of the upcoming presidential race. The survey methodology ensures a representative sample, weighted according to various demographic factors, with a margin of error of ±1 percentage point on aggregated data from all seven states.

This article was originally published on Quiver Quantitative



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