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Thursday, December 26, 2024

Musk’s X Endorsement of Trump: 17 Billion Views, 87 Misleading Claims—Campaign Ads Left in the Dust?

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Elon Musk’s X Posts Dominate Political Discourse: A New Study Reveals Stunning Reach

A groundbreaking new study by the Center for Countering Digital Hate (CCDH) reveals that Elon Musk’s political posts on X (formerly Twitter) have achieved an unprecedented level of reach, dwarfing even the combined impact of all US political campaign advertisements on the platform. Since endorsing former President Donald Trump in July, Musk’s posts have garnered a staggering 17.1 billion views—more than double the total views of paid political ads. This surge in engagement raises significant concerns about the spread of misinformation and the potential influence of a single individual on the 2024 election.

Key Takeaways:

  • Unprecedented Reach: Elon Musk’s political posts on X have accumulated 17.1 billion views since July, eclipsing all US political campaign advertising on the platform combined.
  • Misinformation Concerns: The study found that 87 of Musk’s posts contained false or misleading claims about US elections, garnering 2 billion views without fact-checking.
  • Cost Comparison: Achieving similar viewership through paid advertising would cost approximately $24 million, highlighting the immense organic reach of Musk’s posts.
  • Algorithmic Advantage?: A separate Wall Street Journal study suggests Musk’s posts are disproportionately prioritized by X’s algorithm.

The Scale of Musk’s Influence

The sheer scale of Musk’s reach is astonishing. The CCDH study meticulously analyzed 746 posts from July 13th to October 25th, focusing on content related to US elections. They excluded retweets, focusing solely on original content and direct quotes from Musk. The findings are stark: 17.1 billion views represents a phenomenal level of engagement, far surpassing any paid political advertising campaign on X.

To put this in perspective, all US political campaign ads on X during the same period only generated 7.7 billion views at a cost of $10.7 million. This equates to a cost-per-thousand views (CPM) of $1.39 for official campaigns. The CCDH estimates that replicating Musk’s reach through paid advertising would cost approximately $24 million—a stark illustration of the organic influence Musk wields on the platform.

The Problem of Misinformation

The study’s findings extend beyond sheer volume, delving into the nature of the content itself. A significant portion of Musk’s posts contained demonstrably false or misleading claims regarding US elections. 87 posts, accumulating a total of 2 billion views, fell into this category. Critically, none of these posts featured a Community Note, X’s user-generated fact-checking system, raising serious questions about the platform’s commitment to combating misinformation.

Categories of Misleading Claims

The CCDH categorized the misleading claims into several key areas:

  • Claims about Democrats “importing voters:” These accusations, spread across 66 posts, garnered nearly 1.3 billion views.
  • Assertions about unreliable voting systems: 19 posts questioning the integrity of voting systems accumulated 532 million views.
  • Challenges to mail-in ballots and voter ID requirements: These posts also received significant attention and engagement.

One particularly egregious example cited in the report saw a post accusing Democrats of “voter importation at an unprecedented scale,” gaining over 21 million views. Such statements, amplified by Musk’s vast reach, have the potential to undermine trust in the democratic process.

Algorithmic Amplification?

The CCDH study isn’t the only one highlighting concerns about the amplification of Musk’s posts. A recent Wall Street Journal investigation revealed a significant algorithmic bias favoring Musk’s content. The WSJ report indicated that Musk’s posts appeared more frequently at the top of users’ feeds than any other user’s content, regardless of whether users followed political topics. This finding suggests that X’s algorithm may be inadvertently (or intentionally) amplifying Musk’s influence, potentially contributing to the disproportionate reach of his political messaging.

Implications for the 2024 Election

The CCDH’s findings have profound implications for the upcoming 2024 US presidential election. Musk’s massive reach and amplification of potentially misleading information pose a significant threat to the integrity of the electoral process. The potential for his posts to sway public opinion, especially among those less politically engaged, cannot be understated. The lack of effective fact-checking mechanisms on X exacerbates this concern.

The substantial difference between the organic reach of Musk’s posts and the comparatively limited reach of paid political ads underscores the need for a critical examination of X’s algorithmic practices and its role in shaping the political discourse. Regulators and policymakers need to consider how to address the potential for manipulation and misinformation spreading on social media platforms, especially given the significant influence wielded by influential individuals like Elon Musk.

Conclusion

The unprecedented reach of Elon Musk’s political posts on X presents a clear and present danger to democratic discourse. The study’s findings highlight not only the scale of his influence but also the troubling spread of misinformation amplified by his platform’s algorithms. As we move closer to the 2024 election, it’s crucial to address the issues raised by this research to ensure fair and accurate information reaches the electorate. The question remains: what steps will X and relevant authorities take to mitigate the risks of platform-driven manipulation? Only time will tell if this powerful new platform will continue to allow such large-scale misinformation to spread unchecked.

Article Reference

Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan
Lisa Morgan covers the latest developments in technology, from groundbreaking innovations to industry trends.

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