My top 10 things to watch Friday, Aug. 23
Friday, August 23rd, promises a day of market volatility, fueled by anticipation for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium and crucial earnings reports from key companies. The **Nasdaq** struggled on Thursday, dropping 1.7% and turning negative for the week, while the **S&P 500** and **Dow** shed 0.9% and 0.4%, respectively.
Key Takeaways
- Powell’s Speech at Jackson Hole Center Stage: All eyes are on Powell’s speech, which could offer critical insight into the Fed’s future rate-setting plans and shape the trajectory of the market.
- Ulta Beauty Under Pressure: Citigroup has downgraded Ulta Beauty, forecasting an earnings miss due to weakening trends in the cosmetics sector and heightened competition.
- Chewy Eyes a Profitability Inflection: Piper Sandler is bullish on Chewy, believing the online pet food seller is on the cusp of profitability.
- Macau Weighs on Las Vegas Sands: UBS downgraded Las Vegas Sands due to a slower profit recovery in Macau, impacted by the sluggish Chinese economy.
- Cava Delivers Blowout Quarter: The Mediterranean fast-casual chain, Cava, is soaring after strong earnings, reporting 14.4% comparable store sales growth, exceeding estimates.
- Workday Focuses on Profitability: Despite strong quarterly results, Workday shares are climbing as executives emphasize plans to boost profitability over the next three years.
- Off-Price Retail Thriving: Ross Stores and TJX Companies both saw strong earnings, underscoring the resilience of the off-price retail sector. Burlington Stores also earned a top pick designation from Wells Fargo.
- Mixed Signals in Footwear: Piper Sandler maintains a hold rating on Nike and Foot Locker, although analysts favor other footwear brands like On Holding and Crocs.
- Uber and Cruise Team Up for Autonomous Ride-Hailing: Uber and Cruise, General Motors’ autonomous driving unit, are partnering to bring driverless rides to Uber’s platform, starting as early as next year.
- BJ’s Wholesale Club Recovers After Sell-Off: Wells Fargo upgraded BJ’s Wholesale Club following a post-earnings decline, citing attractive growth prospects despite lowered full-year guidance.
Powell’s Speech at Jackson Hole: A Key Market Indicator
The Federal Reserve Chair’s address at the Jackson Hole Symposium holds significant weight for investors. This annual gathering of central bankers and economists is often used to signal future monetary policy adjustments. While Powell’s remarks may not explicitly reveal new interest rate decisions, they could provide valuable clues about the Fed’s stance on inflation and the economy’s trajectory. This guidance will be crucial for investors trying to gauge the future direction of interest rates and the potential impact on asset prices.
Ulta Beauty Faces Headwinds in Cosmetics Market
Citigroup’s downgrade of Ulta Beauty underscores the challenges facing the cosmetics industry. Weakening consumer demand and heightened competition from both established brands and new entrants are putting pressure on companies like Ulta Beauty. Consumers are often drawn to lower-priced alternatives, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. Ulta Beauty’s ability to navigate these headwinds and maintain its market share will be critical for its future success.
Chewy’s Path to Profitability: Pet Adoption a Tailwind
Piper Sandler’s optimistic outlook on Chewy hinges on the belief that the online pet food retailer is showing signs of profitability. This perspective is encouraging, as Chewy has faced challenges in achieving consistent profitability in the past. The company’s growth strategy has focused on expanding its product offerings and services, including pet supplies, medications, and subscription-based programs. The potential for pet adoption to rebound as economic conditions stabilize could further boost Chewy’s prospects.
Macau’s Slow Recovery Weighs on Las Vegas Sands
UBS’s downgrade of Las Vegas Sands highlights the impact of the sluggish Chinese economy on gambling operators. Macau, the Chinese gambling hub, is a significant revenue generator for Las Vegas Sands and its peers. However, the Chinese economy’s recent slowdown, coupled with Beijing’s tightened regulations on gambling, have weighed on Macau’s gaming industry. This sluggishness has translated into lower profit recovery for Las Vegas Sands and its stock performance.
Cava’s Strong Performance Fuels Growth Prospects
Cava’s strong earnings report signals positive momentum for the Mediterranean fast-casual chain. The company’s comparable store sales growth of 14.4% surpasses expectations, indicating a strong demand for its offerings. This success is attributed to Cava’s commitment to fresh ingredients and its focus on building a loyal customer base. The company’s growth strategy, which includes expanding its geographic reach and introducing new menu items, suggests continued optimism for its future performance.
Workday Emphasizes Profitability Amid Strong Results
Despite delivering better-than-expected quarterly results, Workday’s rising share price reflects investor confidence in the company’s commitment to profitability. Workday’s leadership has made it clear that boosting profitability is a priority over the next three years. Investors often prioritize companies that showcase strong earnings growth and profitability, as these factors contribute to sustainable long-term value. Workday’s focus on profitability aligns with these investor preferences.
Off-Price Retail: A Bright Spot in Turbulent Retail Landscape
The strong performances of Ross Stores and TJX Companies, both off-price retailers, highlight the resilience of this sector. Off-price retailers capitalize on consumer interest in discounted goods, particularly during economic uncertainty. This business model, coupled with their ability to adapt to changing consumer preferences and inventory management, has enabled them to thrive even during challenging retail environments. The sector’s success reflects its ability to cater to value-conscious shoppers while maintaining attractive margins.
Footwear Sector: Nike and Foot Locker Face Challenges
Piper Sandler’s hold rating on Nike and Foot Locker indicates that the footwear sector faces challenges. While Nike remains a dominant brand in the footwear market, it faces increased competition from other athletic apparel companies. Nike’s recent focus on direct-to-consumer sales and e-commerce has led to some investor concerns about its ability to compete effectively in a rapidly changing retail environment. Foot Locker, which has been undergoing a turnaround under its new CEO, is also facing pressure from changing consumer preferences and the rise of direct-to-consumer brands.
Uber and Cruise: Autonomous Rideshare Coming Soon?
The partnership between Uber and Cruise signals another step forward in the development of autonomous vehicles and their integration into the transportation sector. Uber’s existing ride-hailing network and Cruise’s expertise in autonomous driving technology create a compelling synergy. This partnership could revolutionize the way people travel, potentially making ride-sharing more accessible, efficient, and safe. However, the rollout of driverless vehicles will require extensive testing, regulatory approvals, and public acceptance.
BJ’s Wholesale Club Recovers After Sell-Off
Wells Fargo’s upgrade of BJ’s Wholesale Club demonstrates investors’ renewed interest in the bulk-buying retailer. Despite lower full-year guidance, analysts remain optimistic about BJ’s growth prospects. The company’s focus on offering value-conscious shoppers a wide range of products, particularly during times of economic uncertainty, aligns with current market trends. BJ’s ability to remain competitive within the wholesale club sector and reach a broader customer base will be key to its future success.
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